Updated results, hebrew, abstract, intro, etc.

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@@ -31,15 +31,15 @@ Yeast3 & 1484 & 163 &1321 & 8.1 & Yeast protein localisation (UCI) \\
\end{table}
\paragraph{CIFAR-10N.}
CIFAR-10 is a widely used image dataset of 60{,}000 32x32 color images belonging to 10 mutuall exclusive classes. CIFAR-10N~\cite{wei2022cifar10n} augments the 50{,}000 training set labels with real human-annotated noisy labels collected from Amazon Mechanical Turk~\cite{wei2022cifar10n}. We form a binary task (class~1, automobile, vs.\ rest; IR~$\approx 9$:1) and train under three noise conditions:
CIFAR-10 is a widely used image dataset of 60{,}000 32x32 color images belonging to 10 mutually exclusive classes. CIFAR-10N~\cite{wei2022cifar10n} augments the 50{,}000 training set labels with real human-annotated noisy labels collected from Amazon Mechanical Turk~\cite{wei2022cifar10n}. We form a binary task (class~1, automobile, vs.\ rest; IR~$\approx 9$:1) and train under three noise conditions:
\emph{clean} (original CIFAR-10 labels, 0\% noise),
\emph{aggre} (majority-vote aggregate of crowdworker annotations, $\approx$9\% noise), and
\emph{worse} (single worst-annotator labels, $\approx$40\% noise).
This allows us to measure the degredation of the model's performance under increasing label noise conditions.
This allows us to measure the degradation of the model's performance under increasing label noise conditions.
The architecture tested is a three-block convolutional network trained from scratch.
\paragraph{Large tabular datasets.}
We include three large-scale tabular datasets spanning diverse imbalanced real-world settings.
\paragraph{Large datasets.}
We include four large-scale datasets spanning diverse imbalanced real-world settings.
\begin{itemize}
\item \textbf{Bank Marketing}~\cite{moro2014bank}, UCI repository; Portuguese bank telephone marketing campaigns (Moro et al., 2014). $n = 41{,}188$ samples, 48 features after one-hot encoding. Positive class: client subscribed to term deposit. IR~$\approx 8$:1 ($\approx$11.3\% positive). No label noise.
@@ -47,13 +47,10 @@ We include three large-scale tabular datasets spanning diverse imbalanced real-w
\item \textbf{Credit Card Fraud}~\cite{dalpozzolo2015calibrating}, Kaggle / ULB (Worldline + MLG, 2013). $n = 284{,}807$ transactions, 30 features (V1--V28 are PCA-transformed; Time and Amount rescaled). Extreme imbalance: 492 confirmed frauds, IR~$\approx 577$:1. Labels reflect confirmed-fraud reports; undetected fraudulent transactions constitute a structural source of class-conditional false negatives~\cite{tittelfitz2023fpr}.
\item \textbf{Home Credit}~\cite{homecredit2018kaggle}, Kaggle Home Credit Default Risk competition (2018). $n = 307{,}511$ loan applications, $\approx$120 numerical features from the primary application table. Positive class: loan default. IR~$\approx 11.4$:1 ($\approx$8\% default rate). Labels are proxy labels (repayment outcome); no injected noise.
\item \textbf{NIH ChestX-ray14}~\cite{wang2017chestxray14}, a large-scale medical chest radiograph dataset of $112{,}120$ X-rays from $30{,}805$ patients annotated with 14 pathology labels. Labels were extracted from radiological reports via NLP; the dataset authors estimate accuracy at $>$90\%~\cite{wang2017chestxray14}, though subsequent audits have found the true error rate substantially higher~\cite{oakdenrayner2020exploring}, making this a naturally noisy benchmark. We form a binary task targeting \emph{pleural effusion} detection (Effusion vs.\ rest; IR~$\approx 7.5$:1). Unlike the other three datasets, inputs here are not raw tabular features: we extract $1{,}024$-dimensional latent representations using a \mbox{DenseNet-121} pretrained on the dataset via the TorchXRayVision library~\cite{cohen2022torchxrayvision}, with global average pooling applied to the penultimate feature map, and pass these frozen embeddings to a lightweight $1024{\to}512{\to}128{\to}1$ MLP with dropout. This transfer-learning setup lets us evaluate ROLL without GPU-intensive end-to-end training.
\end{itemize}
\paragraph{NIH ChestX-ray14.}
NIH ChestX-ray14~\cite{wang2017chestxray14} is a large-scale medical chest radiograph dataset of $112{,}120$ X-rays from $30{,}805$ patients, annotated with 14 unique labels. Labels were extracted from radiological reports via natural language processing; the dataset authors estimate labelling accuracy at $>$90\%~\cite{wang2017chestxray14}, though subsequent audits have found the true error rate substantially higher, with positive predictive values 10--30 percentage points below the reported figures~\cite{oakdenrayner2020exploring}, making this a naturally noisy benchmark. We form a binary task targeting \emph{pleural effusion} detection (Effusion vs.\ rest; IR~$\approx 7.5$:1).
We extract $1{,}024$-dimensional latent representations using a \mbox{DenseNet-121} pretrained on the dataset via the TorchXRayVision library~\cite{cohen2022torchxrayvision}, with global average pooling applied to the penultimate feature map. These frozen embeddings are passed to a lightweight $1024{\to}512{\to}128{\to}1$ MLP with dropout, treating image representations as tabular features. This setup evaluates ROLL in a transfer-learning scenario and avoids GPU-intensive end-to-end training.
\section{Performance Measures}\label{sec:experiments:performance_measures}
\addcontentsline{tocheb}{section}{\protect\numberline{\secnumforhebrewtoc}{מדדי ביצועים}}
@@ -63,7 +60,7 @@ We report the \emph{area under the ROC curve} (AUC) averaged over independent tr
\label{sec:experiments:configurations}
\addcontentsline{tocheb}{section}{\protect\numberline{\secnumforhebrewtoc}{קונפיגורציה ופרמטרים}}
We compare \textsc{Roll}-AoC (the primary proposed loss, optimising the area under the ROC curve via KDE) against the following baselines:
We compare \textsc{Roll}-AOC (the primary proposed loss, optimising the area under the ROC curve via KDE) against the following baselines:
\begin{itemize}
\item \textbf{BCE-W}: binary cross-entropy with class-frequency inverse weighting.
@@ -79,102 +76,45 @@ All methods use the same network architecture, optimiser (Adam for non-LibAUC me
\section{Results}\label{sec:experiments:results}
\addcontentsline{tocheb}{section}{\protect\numberline{\secnumforhebrewtoc}{תוצאות}}
% TODO: Review which KEEL noise tables to keep in the main body.
% Low noise levels (5%, 10%) show little differentiation and may not add much to the narrative.
% Consider: keep only 20% noise table here (clearest signal, Roll-AoC leads on 6/12 datasets)
% and move 5%/10% tables to an appendix, referencing them from here for completeness.
\subsection{KEEL Benchmark}\label{sec:results:keel}
\Cref{tab:results:keel} reports mean test AUC across the 12 KEEL datasets under clean labels.
No single method dominates: on easy datasets (Iris0, Wisconsin, Vowel0, Vehicle2, Glass6) nearly all methods converge to similar AUCs, leaving little room for differentiation.
On the harder, more imbalanced datasets the picture is more varied.
\textsc{Roll}-AoC competes well but does not claim the top position on most individual datasets, establishing it as a competitive approach.
\textsc{Roll}-AOC competes well but does not claim the top position on most individual datasets, establishing it as a competitive approach.
To assess label-noise robustness, we inject symmetric label noise. A fraction of all class labels are randomly flipped.
We evaluate at noise levels of $5\%, 10\%, 20\%$, running 10 independent episodes per dataset per noise level.
\Cref{tab:results:keel-noise-05,tab:results:keel-noise-10,tab:results:keel-noise-20} show per-dataset results at each noise level.
The randomly flipped labels change each episode, yet are consistent between configurations, ensuring every configuration, per episode, sees the same labels, changed in the same way.
Full per-dataset results at 5\% and 10\% noise are given in \Cref{appendix:keel-noise} (\Cref{tab:results:keel-noise-05,tab:results:keel-noise-10}); the 20\% results, where differentiation is strongest, are shown in \Cref{tab:results:keel-noise-20} below.
At $0\%$ noise, results are quite similar across configurations. \textsc{Roll}-AOC trails right behind the leader in most configurations. Since datasets are small, the \textbf{std} given for each point is relatively high, and quite a bit of variability is expected. Still, we see that, with few exceptions, results between configurations seem within throwing distance of eachother.
As noise increases the ranking shifts markedly: at $20\%$ noise \textsc{Roll}-AoC reaches the top on average (0.847), while traditionally noise-robust losses --- \textsc{GCE} (0.831) and \textsc{MAE} (0.804) --- degrade substantially.
The per-dataset tables reveal that this trend is consistent across most datasets rather than driven by a small subset: at $20\%$ noise \textsc{Roll}-AoC leads on 6 of 12 datasets (Glass0, Glass1, Glass2, Pima, Vehicle2, Yeast3), while no other method leads on more than 3.
From $0\%$ to $20\%$ noise, \textsc{Roll}-AoC drops 0.033 in mean AUC (3.7\%), compared to 0.056 for \textsc{GCE} (6.3\%), 0.071 for \textsc{MAE} (8.1\%), and 0.073 for \textsc{LibAUC} (8.3\%).
At $0\%$ noise, results are quite similar across configurations. \textsc{Roll}-AOC trails right behind the leader in most configurations. Since datasets are small, the \textbf{std} given for each point is relatively high, and quite a bit of variability is expected. Still, with few exceptions, results between configurations are within throwing distance of each other.
As noise increases the ranking shifts markedly: at $20\%$ noise \textsc{Roll}-AOC reaches the top on average (0.847), while traditionally noise-robust losses --- \textsc{GCE} (0.831) and \textsc{MAE} (0.804) --- degrade substantially.
The per-dataset results in \Cref{tab:results:keel-noise-20} reveal that this trend is consistent across most datasets rather than driven by a small subset: \textsc{Roll}-AOC leads on 6 of 12 datasets (Glass0, Glass1, Glass2, Pima, Vehicle2, Yeast3), while no other method leads on more than 3.
From $0\%$ to $20\%$ noise, \textsc{Roll}-AOC drops 0.033 in mean AUC (3.7\%), compared to 0.056 for \textsc{GCE} (6.3\%), 0.071 for \textsc{MAE} (8.1\%), and 0.073 for \textsc{LibAUC} (8.3\%).
This supports the hypothesis that ROLL's distributional objective provides implicit noise robustness: mislabelled samples shift the fitted score distribution gradually rather than producing isolated large-gradient outliers.
% TODO: audit bold/emphasis across all result tables — check that bold marks the correct per-row best and that no ties or near-ties are missed or incorrectly marked.
\begin{table}[htbp]
\centering
\caption{Mean test AUC ($\pm$\,std, $n=5$ episodes) on KEEL benchmark datasets under clean labels. Best per row in \textbf{bold}.}
\label{tab:results:keel}
\resizebox{\textwidth}{!}{%
\begin{tabular}{lcccccccc}
\begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
\toprule
Dataset & \textsc{Roll}-AoC & \textsc{Roll}-TPR & BCE-W & Focal & Asym. & GCE & LibAUC & MAE \\
Dataset & \textsc{Roll}-AOC & BCE-W & Focal & Asym. & GCE & LibAUC & MAE \\
\midrule
Glass0 & 0.796{\tiny{$\pm$0.046}} & 0.826{\tiny{$\pm$0.032}} & 0.839{\tiny{$\pm$0.033}} & 0.802{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.814{\tiny{$\pm$0.034}} & 0.818{\tiny{$\pm$0.032}} & \textbf{0.843{\tiny{$\pm$0.035}}} & 0.826{\tiny{$\pm$0.037}} \\
Glass1 & 0.722{\tiny{$\pm$0.033}} & 0.698{\tiny{$\pm$0.042}} & 0.710{\tiny{$\pm$0.018}} & 0.712{\tiny{$\pm$0.036}} & 0.744{\tiny{$\pm$0.044}} & 0.742{\tiny{$\pm$0.039}} & 0.723{\tiny{$\pm$0.054}} & \textbf{0.769{\tiny{$\pm$0.031}}} \\
Glass2 & 0.723{\tiny{$\pm$0.062}} & 0.701{\tiny{$\pm$0.055}} & 0.661{\tiny{$\pm$0.069}} & 0.677{\tiny{$\pm$0.072}} & \textbf{0.750{\tiny{$\pm$0.075}}} & 0.689{\tiny{$\pm$0.023}} & 0.719{\tiny{$\pm$0.084}} & 0.679{\tiny{$\pm$0.018}} \\
Glass6 & 0.975{\tiny{$\pm$0.014}} & 0.975{\tiny{$\pm$0.027}} & 0.972{\tiny{$\pm$0.025}} & 0.974{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.982{\tiny{$\pm$0.013}} & 0.971{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.969{\tiny{$\pm$0.012}} & \textbf{0.985{\tiny{$\pm$0.006}}} \\
Haberman & 0.696{\tiny{$\pm$0.045}} & 0.675{\tiny{$\pm$0.063}} & 0.736{\tiny{$\pm$0.012}} & \textbf{0.742{\tiny{$\pm$0.025}}} & 0.741{\tiny{$\pm$0.018}} & 0.737{\tiny{$\pm$0.016}} & 0.616{\tiny{$\pm$0.116}} & 0.671{\tiny{$\pm$0.102}} \\
Iris0 & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & 0.981{\tiny{$\pm$0.027}} & 0.900{\tiny{$\pm$0.224}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & 0.900{\tiny{$\pm$0.224}} \\
New-Thyroid1 & 0.989{\tiny{$\pm$0.010}} & 0.845{\tiny{$\pm$0.241}} & 0.992{\tiny{$\pm$0.005}} & 0.977{\tiny{$\pm$0.033}} & 0.988{\tiny{$\pm$0.007}} & 0.987{\tiny{$\pm$0.011}} & 0.985{\tiny{$\pm$0.012}} & \textbf{0.994{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}}} \\
Pima & 0.778{\tiny{$\pm$0.024}} & 0.755{\tiny{$\pm$0.014}} & \textbf{0.787{\tiny{$\pm$0.014}}} & 0.775{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.771{\tiny{$\pm$0.019}} & 0.785{\tiny{$\pm$0.005}} & 0.761{\tiny{$\pm$0.015}} & 0.778{\tiny{$\pm$0.005}} \\
Vehicle2 & 0.982{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.966{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & \textbf{0.984{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}}} & 0.982{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.980{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & 0.982{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & 0.982{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.983{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} \\
Vowel0 & 0.993{\tiny{$\pm$0.005}} & 0.987{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.995{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & 0.996{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.995{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.997{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.991{\tiny{$\pm$0.007}} & \textbf{0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} \\
Wisconsin & 0.997{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.800{\tiny{$\pm$0.441}} & \textbf{0.999{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & \textbf{0.999{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} & 0.999{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} & 0.999{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} & 0.999{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}} & 0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} \\
Yeast3 & 0.906{\tiny{$\pm$0.024}} & 0.908{\tiny{$\pm$0.021}} & 0.894{\tiny{$\pm$0.008}} & 0.908{\tiny{$\pm$0.019}} & \textbf{0.935{\tiny{$\pm$0.014}}} & 0.927{\tiny{$\pm$0.006}} & \textbf{0.935{\tiny{$\pm$0.016}}} & 0.915{\tiny{$\pm$0.010}} \\
\bottomrule
\end{tabular}%
}
\end{table}
\begin{table}[htbp]
\centering
\caption{Mean test AUC ($\pm$\,std, $n=10$ episodes) on KEEL datasets at $\epsilon=5\%$ asymmetric label noise. Best per row in \textbf{bold}.}
\label{tab:results:keel-noise-05}
\resizebox{\textwidth}{!}{%
\begin{tabular}{lcccccccc}
\toprule
Dataset & \textsc{Roll}-AoC & \textsc{Roll}-TPR & BCE-W & Focal & Asym. & GCE & LibAUC & MAE \\
\midrule
Glass0 & 0.797{\tiny{$\pm$0.046}} & 0.759{\tiny{$\pm$0.060}} & 0.786{\tiny{$\pm$0.019}} & \textbf{0.806{\tiny{$\pm$0.030}}} & 0.792{\tiny{$\pm$0.041}} & 0.794{\tiny{$\pm$0.029}} & 0.791{\tiny{$\pm$0.056}} & 0.792{\tiny{$\pm$0.058}} \\
Glass1 & 0.728{\tiny{$\pm$0.037}} & 0.702{\tiny{$\pm$0.041}} & 0.736{\tiny{$\pm$0.032}} & 0.730{\tiny{$\pm$0.074}} & 0.704{\tiny{$\pm$0.028}} & 0.717{\tiny{$\pm$0.059}} & 0.694{\tiny{$\pm$0.060}} & \textbf{0.738{\tiny{$\pm$0.047}}} \\
Glass2 & 0.677{\tiny{$\pm$0.095}} & 0.607{\tiny{$\pm$0.114}} & 0.665{\tiny{$\pm$0.128}} & 0.581{\tiny{$\pm$0.091}} & 0.662{\tiny{$\pm$0.050}} & 0.651{\tiny{$\pm$0.078}} & 0.614{\tiny{$\pm$0.085}} & \textbf{0.686{\tiny{$\pm$0.091}}} \\
Glass6 & 0.972{\tiny{$\pm$0.021}} & 0.909{\tiny{$\pm$0.068}} & 0.972{\tiny{$\pm$0.035}} & 0.978{\tiny{$\pm$0.016}} & \textbf{0.981{\tiny{$\pm$0.016}}} & 0.947{\tiny{$\pm$0.049}} & 0.967{\tiny{$\pm$0.036}} & 0.971{\tiny{$\pm$0.031}} \\
Haberman & 0.666{\tiny{$\pm$0.094}} & 0.562{\tiny{$\pm$0.148}} & 0.627{\tiny{$\pm$0.124}} & 0.694{\tiny{$\pm$0.111}} & 0.693{\tiny{$\pm$0.065}} & 0.687{\tiny{$\pm$0.099}} & 0.651{\tiny{$\pm$0.125}} & \textbf{0.716{\tiny{$\pm$0.055}}} \\
Iris0 & 0.990{\tiny{$\pm$0.014}} & 0.770{\tiny{$\pm$0.284}} & 0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.006}} & 0.999{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.999{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & 0.999{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} \\
New-Thyroid1 & 0.984{\tiny{$\pm$0.010}} & 0.609{\tiny{$\pm$0.408}} & 0.986{\tiny{$\pm$0.007}} & 0.971{\tiny{$\pm$0.046}} & 0.989{\tiny{$\pm$0.006}} & 0.987{\tiny{$\pm$0.019}} & 0.983{\tiny{$\pm$0.023}} & \textbf{0.991{\tiny{$\pm$0.012}}} \\
Pima & 0.780{\tiny{$\pm$0.021}} & 0.761{\tiny{$\pm$0.030}} & 0.784{\tiny{$\pm$0.016}} & 0.780{\tiny{$\pm$0.019}} & 0.767{\tiny{$\pm$0.023}} & \textbf{0.787{\tiny{$\pm$0.011}}} & 0.756{\tiny{$\pm$0.023}} & 0.775{\tiny{$\pm$0.023}} \\
Vehicle2 & 0.975{\tiny{$\pm$0.007}} & 0.954{\tiny{$\pm$0.043}} & \textbf{0.977{\tiny{$\pm$0.006}}} & 0.974{\tiny{$\pm$0.010}} & 0.969{\tiny{$\pm$0.016}} & 0.976{\tiny{$\pm$0.007}} & 0.975{\tiny{$\pm$0.008}} & 0.976{\tiny{$\pm$0.009}} \\
Vowel0 & 0.988{\tiny{$\pm$0.012}} & 0.959{\tiny{$\pm$0.028}} & 0.981{\tiny{$\pm$0.019}} & 0.989{\tiny{$\pm$0.017}} & \textbf{0.991{\tiny{$\pm$0.006}}} & 0.985{\tiny{$\pm$0.014}} & 0.973{\tiny{$\pm$0.025}} & 0.978{\tiny{$\pm$0.014}} \\
Wisconsin & 0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.997{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & 0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} & \textbf{0.999{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} & \textbf{0.999{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} & 0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} & 0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} & 0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} \\
Yeast3 & 0.900{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.843{\tiny{$\pm$0.070}} & 0.914{\tiny{$\pm$0.028}} & 0.915{\tiny{$\pm$0.034}} & \textbf{0.916{\tiny{$\pm$0.026}}} & \textbf{0.916{\tiny{$\pm$0.032}}} & 0.908{\tiny{$\pm$0.029}} & 0.909{\tiny{$\pm$0.024}} \\
\bottomrule
\end{tabular}%
}
\end{table}
\begin{table}[htbp]
\centering
\caption{Mean test AUC ($\pm$\,std, $n=10$ episodes) on KEEL datasets at $\epsilon=10\%$ asymmetric label noise. Best per row in \textbf{bold}.}
\label{tab:results:keel-noise-10}
\resizebox{\textwidth}{!}{%
\begin{tabular}{lcccccccc}
\toprule
Dataset & \textsc{Roll}-AoC & \textsc{Roll}-TPR & BCE-W & Focal & Asym. & GCE & LibAUC & MAE \\
\midrule
Glass0 & 0.773{\tiny{$\pm$0.070}} & 0.767{\tiny{$\pm$0.046}} & 0.789{\tiny{$\pm$0.037}} & 0.771{\tiny{$\pm$0.037}} & \textbf{0.821{\tiny{$\pm$0.026}}} & 0.786{\tiny{$\pm$0.057}} & 0.800{\tiny{$\pm$0.032}} & 0.807{\tiny{$\pm$0.050}} \\
Glass1 & 0.719{\tiny{$\pm$0.040}} & 0.725{\tiny{$\pm$0.029}} & 0.716{\tiny{$\pm$0.079}} & 0.718{\tiny{$\pm$0.056}} & 0.710{\tiny{$\pm$0.049}} & 0.729{\tiny{$\pm$0.048}} & 0.675{\tiny{$\pm$0.070}} & \textbf{0.738{\tiny{$\pm$0.060}}} \\
Glass2 & 0.695{\tiny{$\pm$0.075}} & 0.649{\tiny{$\pm$0.119}} & 0.644{\tiny{$\pm$0.072}} & 0.687{\tiny{$\pm$0.127}} & 0.655{\tiny{$\pm$0.048}} & \textbf{0.713{\tiny{$\pm$0.107}}} & 0.637{\tiny{$\pm$0.093}} & 0.673{\tiny{$\pm$0.111}} \\
Glass6 & 0.947{\tiny{$\pm$0.050}} & 0.910{\tiny{$\pm$0.067}} & \textbf{0.973{\tiny{$\pm$0.026}}} & 0.950{\tiny{$\pm$0.041}} & 0.971{\tiny{$\pm$0.024}} & 0.938{\tiny{$\pm$0.047}} & 0.937{\tiny{$\pm$0.048}} & 0.935{\tiny{$\pm$0.054}} \\
Haberman & 0.638{\tiny{$\pm$0.098}} & 0.564{\tiny{$\pm$0.144}} & 0.700{\tiny{$\pm$0.074}} & 0.652{\tiny{$\pm$0.106}} & 0.658{\tiny{$\pm$0.087}} & 0.636{\tiny{$\pm$0.112}} & 0.694{\tiny{$\pm$0.129}} & \textbf{0.732{\tiny{$\pm$0.022}}} \\
Iris0 & 0.991{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.879{\tiny{$\pm$0.209}} & 0.950{\tiny{$\pm$0.158}} & 0.950{\tiny{$\pm$0.158}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} \\
New-Thyroid1 & 0.986{\tiny{$\pm$0.011}} & 0.588{\tiny{$\pm$0.358}} & 0.980{\tiny{$\pm$0.024}} & 0.987{\tiny{$\pm$0.012}} & \textbf{0.991{\tiny{$\pm$0.013}}} & 0.986{\tiny{$\pm$0.019}} & 0.973{\tiny{$\pm$0.049}} & 0.986{\tiny{$\pm$0.013}} \\
Pima & 0.756{\tiny{$\pm$0.026}} & 0.752{\tiny{$\pm$0.027}} & 0.760{\tiny{$\pm$0.024}} & 0.767{\tiny{$\pm$0.023}} & \textbf{0.780{\tiny{$\pm$0.013}}} & 0.761{\tiny{$\pm$0.030}} & 0.757{\tiny{$\pm$0.032}} & 0.754{\tiny{$\pm$0.032}} \\
Vehicle2 & 0.967{\tiny{$\pm$0.015}} & 0.939{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.964{\tiny{$\pm$0.016}} & 0.962{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.962{\tiny{$\pm$0.017}} & 0.965{\tiny{$\pm$0.009}} & 0.953{\tiny{$\pm$0.022}} & \textbf{0.970{\tiny{$\pm$0.010}}} \\
Vowel0 & \textbf{0.985{\tiny{$\pm$0.011}}} & 0.946{\tiny{$\pm$0.036}} & \textbf{0.984{\tiny{$\pm$0.016}}} & 0.979{\tiny{$\pm$0.025}} & 0.975{\tiny{$\pm$0.022}} & 0.977{\tiny{$\pm$0.024}} & 0.959{\tiny{$\pm$0.035}} & 0.946{\tiny{$\pm$0.039}} \\
Wisconsin & 0.996{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} & 0.717{\tiny{$\pm$0.453}} & 0.996{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & 0.997{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.997{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & \textbf{0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} & 0.996{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & \textbf{0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} \\
Yeast3 & 0.895{\tiny{$\pm$0.034}} & 0.810{\tiny{$\pm$0.097}} & 0.891{\tiny{$\pm$0.054}} & 0.868{\tiny{$\pm$0.069}} & \textbf{0.915{\tiny{$\pm$0.030}}} & 0.891{\tiny{$\pm$0.029}} & 0.872{\tiny{$\pm$0.040}} & 0.857{\tiny{$\pm$0.059}} \\
Glass0 & 0.796{\tiny{$\pm$0.046}} & 0.839{\tiny{$\pm$0.033}} & 0.802{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.814{\tiny{$\pm$0.034}} & 0.818{\tiny{$\pm$0.032}} & \textbf{0.843{\tiny{$\pm$0.035}}} & 0.826{\tiny{$\pm$0.037}} \\
Glass1 & 0.722{\tiny{$\pm$0.033}} & 0.710{\tiny{$\pm$0.018}} & 0.712{\tiny{$\pm$0.036}} & 0.744{\tiny{$\pm$0.044}} & 0.742{\tiny{$\pm$0.039}} & 0.723{\tiny{$\pm$0.054}} & \textbf{0.769{\tiny{$\pm$0.031}}} \\
Glass2 & 0.723{\tiny{$\pm$0.062}} & 0.661{\tiny{$\pm$0.069}} & 0.677{\tiny{$\pm$0.072}} & \textbf{0.750{\tiny{$\pm$0.075}}} & 0.689{\tiny{$\pm$0.023}} & 0.719{\tiny{$\pm$0.084}} & 0.679{\tiny{$\pm$0.018}} \\
Glass6 & 0.975{\tiny{$\pm$0.014}} & 0.972{\tiny{$\pm$0.025}} & 0.974{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.982{\tiny{$\pm$0.013}} & 0.971{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.969{\tiny{$\pm$0.012}} & \textbf{0.985{\tiny{$\pm$0.006}}} \\
Haberman & 0.696{\tiny{$\pm$0.045}} & 0.736{\tiny{$\pm$0.012}} & \textbf{0.742{\tiny{$\pm$0.025}}} & 0.741{\tiny{$\pm$0.018}} & 0.737{\tiny{$\pm$0.016}} & 0.616{\tiny{$\pm$0.116}} & 0.671{\tiny{$\pm$0.102}} \\
Iris0 & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & 0.900{\tiny{$\pm$0.224}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & 0.900{\tiny{$\pm$0.224}} \\
New-Thyroid1 & 0.989{\tiny{$\pm$0.010}} & 0.992{\tiny{$\pm$0.005}} & 0.977{\tiny{$\pm$0.033}} & 0.988{\tiny{$\pm$0.007}} & 0.987{\tiny{$\pm$0.011}} & 0.985{\tiny{$\pm$0.012}} & \textbf{0.994{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}}} \\
Pima & 0.778{\tiny{$\pm$0.024}} & \textbf{0.787{\tiny{$\pm$0.014}}} & 0.775{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.771{\tiny{$\pm$0.019}} & 0.785{\tiny{$\pm$0.005}} & 0.761{\tiny{$\pm$0.015}} & 0.778{\tiny{$\pm$0.005}} \\
Vehicle2 & 0.982{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & \textbf{0.984{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}}} & 0.982{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.980{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & 0.982{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & 0.982{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.983{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} \\
Vowel0 & 0.993{\tiny{$\pm$0.005}} & 0.995{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & 0.996{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.995{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.997{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.991{\tiny{$\pm$0.007}} & \textbf{0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} \\
Wisconsin & 0.997{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & \textbf{0.999{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}}} & \textbf{0.999{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} & 0.999{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} & 0.999{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} & 0.999{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}} & 0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} \\
Yeast3 & 0.906{\tiny{$\pm$0.024}} & 0.894{\tiny{$\pm$0.008}} & 0.908{\tiny{$\pm$0.019}} & \textbf{0.935{\tiny{$\pm$0.014}}} & 0.927{\tiny{$\pm$0.006}} & \textbf{0.935{\tiny{$\pm$0.016}}} & 0.915{\tiny{$\pm$0.010}} \\
\bottomrule
\end{tabular}%
}
@@ -185,22 +125,22 @@ Yeast3 & 0.895{\tiny{$\pm$0.034}} & 0.810{\tiny{$\pm$0.097}} & 0.891{\tiny
\caption{Mean test AUC ($\pm$\,std, $n=10$ episodes) on KEEL datasets at $\epsilon=20\%$ asymmetric label noise. Best per row in \textbf{bold}.}
\label{tab:results:keel-noise-20}
\resizebox{\textwidth}{!}{%
\begin{tabular}{lcccccccc}
\begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
\toprule
Dataset & \textsc{Roll}-AoC & \textsc{Roll}-TPR & BCE-W & Focal & Asym. & GCE & LibAUC & MAE \\
Dataset & \textsc{Roll}-AOC & BCE-W & Focal & Asym. & GCE & LibAUC & MAE \\
\midrule
Glass0 & \textbf{0.801{\tiny{$\pm$0.042}}} & 0.758{\tiny{$\pm$0.049}} & 0.767{\tiny{$\pm$0.042}} & 0.796{\tiny{$\pm$0.040}} & 0.793{\tiny{$\pm$0.051}} & 0.765{\tiny{$\pm$0.052}} & 0.745{\tiny{$\pm$0.089}} & 0.791{\tiny{$\pm$0.044}} \\
Glass1 & \textbf{0.725{\tiny{$\pm$0.036}}} & 0.682{\tiny{$\pm$0.068}} & 0.718{\tiny{$\pm$0.054}} & 0.714{\tiny{$\pm$0.036}} & 0.700{\tiny{$\pm$0.039}} & 0.706{\tiny{$\pm$0.041}} & 0.635{\tiny{$\pm$0.052}} & 0.689{\tiny{$\pm$0.060}} \\
Glass2 & \textbf{0.622{\tiny{$\pm$0.110}}} & 0.585{\tiny{$\pm$0.131}} & 0.620{\tiny{$\pm$0.166}} & 0.620{\tiny{$\pm$0.082}} & 0.586{\tiny{$\pm$0.121}} & 0.614{\tiny{$\pm$0.196}} & 0.601{\tiny{$\pm$0.138}} & 0.573{\tiny{$\pm$0.163}} \\
Glass6 & 0.915{\tiny{$\pm$0.077}} & 0.884{\tiny{$\pm$0.085}} & 0.925{\tiny{$\pm$0.063}} & 0.939{\tiny{$\pm$0.057}} & \textbf{0.962{\tiny{$\pm$0.025}}} & 0.875{\tiny{$\pm$0.102}} & 0.939{\tiny{$\pm$0.046}} & 0.827{\tiny{$\pm$0.150}} \\
Haberman & 0.632{\tiny{$\pm$0.099}} & 0.548{\tiny{$\pm$0.116}} & 0.601{\tiny{$\pm$0.129}} & 0.662{\tiny{$\pm$0.091}} & 0.633{\tiny{$\pm$0.110}} & 0.586{\tiny{$\pm$0.131}} & \textbf{0.666{\tiny{$\pm$0.130}}} & 0.629{\tiny{$\pm$0.106}} \\
Iris0 & 0.993{\tiny{$\pm$0.011}} & 0.894{\tiny{$\pm$0.286}} & 0.997{\tiny{$\pm$0.009}} & 0.897{\tiny{$\pm$0.217}} & 0.950{\tiny{$\pm$0.158}} & 0.957{\tiny{$\pm$0.135}} & 0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} \\
New-Thyroid1 & 0.930{\tiny{$\pm$0.047}} & 0.802{\tiny{$\pm$0.223}} & 0.951{\tiny{$\pm$0.044}} & 0.962{\tiny{$\pm$0.035}} & 0.895{\tiny{$\pm$0.160}} & \textbf{0.973{\tiny{$\pm$0.065}}} & 0.888{\tiny{$\pm$0.300}} & 0.910{\tiny{$\pm$0.152}} \\
Pima & \textbf{0.758{\tiny{$\pm$0.015}}} & 0.722{\tiny{$\pm$0.062}} & 0.756{\tiny{$\pm$0.024}} & 0.753{\tiny{$\pm$0.032}} & 0.742{\tiny{$\pm$0.048}} & 0.757{\tiny{$\pm$0.026}} & 0.741{\tiny{$\pm$0.027}} & 0.745{\tiny{$\pm$0.027}} \\
Vehicle2 & \textbf{0.949{\tiny{$\pm$0.024}}} & 0.901{\tiny{$\pm$0.052}} & 0.948{\tiny{$\pm$0.021}} & 0.936{\tiny{$\pm$0.026}} & 0.928{\tiny{$\pm$0.029}} & 0.932{\tiny{$\pm$0.038}} & 0.864{\tiny{$\pm$0.049}} & 0.892{\tiny{$\pm$0.057}} \\
Vowel0 & 0.966{\tiny{$\pm$0.033}} & 0.929{\tiny{$\pm$0.054}} & \textbf{0.978{\tiny{$\pm$0.019}}} & 0.975{\tiny{$\pm$0.018}} & 0.966{\tiny{$\pm$0.015}} & 0.956{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.847{\tiny{$\pm$0.157}} & 0.838{\tiny{$\pm$0.079}} \\
Wisconsin & 0.995{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.912{\tiny{$\pm$0.214}} & \textbf{0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}}} & 0.997{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.995{\tiny{$\pm$0.006}} & 0.996{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & 0.993{\tiny{$\pm$0.014}} & 0.997{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} \\
Yeast3 & \textbf{0.879{\tiny{$\pm$0.032}}} & 0.657{\tiny{$\pm$0.140}} & 0.861{\tiny{$\pm$0.070}} & 0.853{\tiny{$\pm$0.063}} & 0.846{\tiny{$\pm$0.091}} & 0.850{\tiny{$\pm$0.038}} & 0.793{\tiny{$\pm$0.104}} & 0.752{\tiny{$\pm$0.133}} \\
Glass0 & \textbf{0.801{\tiny{$\pm$0.042}}} & 0.767{\tiny{$\pm$0.042}} & 0.796{\tiny{$\pm$0.040}} & 0.793{\tiny{$\pm$0.051}} & 0.765{\tiny{$\pm$0.052}} & 0.745{\tiny{$\pm$0.089}} & 0.791{\tiny{$\pm$0.044}} \\
Glass1 & \textbf{0.725{\tiny{$\pm$0.036}}} & 0.718{\tiny{$\pm$0.054}} & 0.714{\tiny{$\pm$0.036}} & 0.700{\tiny{$\pm$0.039}} & 0.706{\tiny{$\pm$0.041}} & 0.635{\tiny{$\pm$0.052}} & 0.689{\tiny{$\pm$0.060}} \\
Glass2 & \textbf{0.622{\tiny{$\pm$0.110}}} & 0.620{\tiny{$\pm$0.166}} & 0.620{\tiny{$\pm$0.082}} & 0.586{\tiny{$\pm$0.121}} & 0.614{\tiny{$\pm$0.196}} & 0.601{\tiny{$\pm$0.138}} & 0.573{\tiny{$\pm$0.163}} \\
Glass6 & 0.915{\tiny{$\pm$0.077}} & 0.925{\tiny{$\pm$0.063}} & 0.939{\tiny{$\pm$0.057}} & \textbf{0.962{\tiny{$\pm$0.025}}} & 0.875{\tiny{$\pm$0.102}} & 0.939{\tiny{$\pm$0.046}} & 0.827{\tiny{$\pm$0.150}} \\
Haberman & 0.632{\tiny{$\pm$0.099}} & 0.601{\tiny{$\pm$0.129}} & 0.662{\tiny{$\pm$0.091}} & 0.633{\tiny{$\pm$0.110}} & 0.586{\tiny{$\pm$0.131}} & \textbf{0.666{\tiny{$\pm$0.130}}} & 0.629{\tiny{$\pm$0.106}} \\
Iris0 & 0.993{\tiny{$\pm$0.011}} & 0.997{\tiny{$\pm$0.009}} & 0.897{\tiny{$\pm$0.217}} & 0.950{\tiny{$\pm$0.158}} & 0.957{\tiny{$\pm$0.135}} & 0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & \textbf{1.000{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} \\
New-Thyroid1 & 0.930{\tiny{$\pm$0.047}} & 0.951{\tiny{$\pm$0.044}} & 0.962{\tiny{$\pm$0.035}} & 0.895{\tiny{$\pm$0.160}} & \textbf{0.973{\tiny{$\pm$0.065}}} & 0.888{\tiny{$\pm$0.300}} & 0.910{\tiny{$\pm$0.152}} \\
Pima & \textbf{0.758{\tiny{$\pm$0.015}}} & 0.756{\tiny{$\pm$0.024}} & 0.753{\tiny{$\pm$0.032}} & 0.742{\tiny{$\pm$0.048}} & 0.757{\tiny{$\pm$0.026}} & 0.741{\tiny{$\pm$0.027}} & 0.745{\tiny{$\pm$0.027}} \\
Vehicle2 & \textbf{0.949{\tiny{$\pm$0.024}}} & 0.948{\tiny{$\pm$0.021}} & 0.936{\tiny{$\pm$0.026}} & 0.928{\tiny{$\pm$0.029}} & 0.932{\tiny{$\pm$0.038}} & 0.864{\tiny{$\pm$0.049}} & 0.892{\tiny{$\pm$0.057}} \\
Vowel0 & 0.966{\tiny{$\pm$0.033}} & \textbf{0.978{\tiny{$\pm$0.019}}} & 0.975{\tiny{$\pm$0.018}} & 0.966{\tiny{$\pm$0.015}} & 0.956{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.847{\tiny{$\pm$0.157}} & 0.838{\tiny{$\pm$0.079}} \\
Wisconsin & 0.995{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & \textbf{0.998{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}}} & 0.997{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.995{\tiny{$\pm$0.006}} & 0.996{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & 0.993{\tiny{$\pm$0.014}} & 0.997{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} \\
Yeast3 & \textbf{0.879{\tiny{$\pm$0.032}}} & 0.861{\tiny{$\pm$0.070}} & 0.853{\tiny{$\pm$0.063}} & 0.846{\tiny{$\pm$0.091}} & 0.850{\tiny{$\pm$0.038}} & 0.793{\tiny{$\pm$0.104}} & 0.752{\tiny{$\pm$0.133}} \\
\bottomrule
\end{tabular}%
}
@@ -208,7 +148,7 @@ Yeast3 & \textbf{0.879{\tiny{$\pm$0.032}}} & 0.657{\tiny{$\pm$0.140}} & 0.
\subsection{CIFAR-10N: Label-Noise Robustness}\label{sec:results:cifar10n}
\Cref{tab:results:cifar10n} shows AUC under three noise levels on CIFAR-10N. Under \emph{clean} labels all methods reach AUC $\geq 0.972$, with \textsc{Roll}-AoC at the top (0.980). As noise increases the advantage of \textsc{Roll}-AoC grows: under \emph{aggre} noise it leads by 0.002 over the next-best method (GCE, 0.932) while other methods degrade more significantly, and under \emph{worse} noise, the margin widens to 0.012 over MAE (0.809) and 0.047 over BCE-W (0.738). Observing degredation w.r.t the clean scenario, we can see that \testxc{Roll}-AoC degraded the least (-0.159 relative to clean results) relative to other configurations, with the other least-degrading result being MAE (-0.167)
\Cref{tab:results:cifar10n} shows AUC under three noise levels on CIFAR-10N. Under \emph{clean} labels all methods reach AUC $\geq 0.972$, with \textsc{Roll}-AOC at the top (0.980). As noise increases the advantage of \textsc{Roll}-AOC grows: under \emph{aggre} noise it leads by 0.002 over the next-best method (GCE, 0.932) while other methods degrade more significantly, and under \emph{worse} noise, the margin widens to 0.012 over MAE (0.809) and 0.047 over BCE-W (0.738). Observing degradation relative to the clean scenario, \textsc{Roll}-AOC degraded the least ($-0.159$ relative to clean results), with MAE second ($-0.167$).
\begin{table}[htbp]
\centering
@@ -217,7 +157,7 @@ Yeast3 & \textbf{0.879{\tiny{$\pm$0.032}}} & 0.657{\tiny{$\pm$0.140}} & 0.
\resizebox{\textwidth}{!}{%
\begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
\toprule
Noise & \textsc{Roll}-AoC & BCE-W & Focal & Asym. & GCE & LibAUC & MAE \\
Noise & \textsc{Roll}-AOC & BCE-W & Focal & Asym. & GCE & LibAUC & MAE \\
\midrule
Clean & \textbf{0.980{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} & 0.977{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.977{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}} & 0.972{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.976{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.979{\tiny{$\pm$0.000}} & 0.976{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} \\
Aggre. & \textbf{0.934{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}}} & 0.924{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.912{\tiny{$\pm$0.014}} & 0.910{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & 0.932{\tiny{$\pm$0.005}} & 0.921{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & 0.930{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} \\
@@ -227,68 +167,31 @@ Worse & \textbf{0.821{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} & 0.738{\tiny{$\pm$0.009}} & 0.734{\ti
}
\end{table}
% TODO: Remove Roll-TPR column from tab:results:large and update the discussion accordingly.
% Roll-TPR is not the focus for these datasets and its results (e.g. 0.438 on Bank Marketing) distract from the main story.
\subsection{Large Real-World Datasets}\label{sec:results:large}
\subsection{Large Datasets}\label{sec:results:large}
% TODO: Reword Bank Marketing discussion after rerun — current results (Roll-AoC 0.511, Roll-TPR 0.438) are likely a bug. Update numbers and narrative once confirmed.
\Cref{tab:results:large} covers three large-scale datasets. On Credit Card Fraud \textsc{Roll}-TPR is the top performer (0.974) with \textsc{Roll}-AoC close behind (0.968), and both outperform all non-ROLL baselines. On Home Credit \textsc{Roll}-AoC edges LibAUC (0.712 vs.\ 0.711). On Bank Marketing, however, GCE achieves the highest AUC (0.746) while \textsc{Roll}-AoC and \textsc{Roll}-TPR underperform (0.511 and 0.438 respectively); the cause of this degradation on this dataset is an open question and a direction for future investigation.
\Cref{tab:results:large} covers the four large-scale datasets. On Bank Marketing, LibAUC leads (0.936) with \textsc{Roll}-AOC close behind (0.931), and both substantially outperform all other baselines. On Credit Card Fraud \textsc{Roll}-AOC is the top performer (0.968), outperforming all baselines. On Home Credit \textsc{Roll}-AOC edges LibAUC (0.712 vs.\ 0.711).
NIH ChestX-ray14 is qualitatively distinct from the other three: inputs are frozen DenseNet-121 embeddings from radiograph images rather than raw tabular features, making this a transfer-learning evaluation under naturally noisy labels~\cite{oakdenrayner2020exploring}.
\textsc{Roll}-AOC achieves the highest AUC ($0.839\pm0.001$), a clear margin above the next-best method GCE ($0.829\pm0.004$).
Standard cross-entropy variants trail substantially: BCE-W reaches $0.788\pm0.008$, Focal $0.798\pm0.009$, and Asym.\ $0.729\pm0.007$. MAE ($0.810\pm0.001$) and LibAUC ($0.835\pm0.002$) both fall short despite their respective noise-robust and AUC-optimising designs.
The ${\approx}5$~pp gap between \textsc{Roll}-AOC and BCE-W, consistent with the controlled KEEL noise experiment (\Cref{sec:results:keel}) and CIFAR-10N (\Cref{sec:results:cifar10n}), confirms that the noise-robustness advantage holds on real-world label noise. The result also shows that \textsc{Roll}-AOC generalises beyond from-scratch training: with embeddings frozen, ROLL operates entirely within the MLP head, fitting score distributions over a fixed representation.
\begin{table}[htbp]
\centering
\caption{Mean test AUC ($\pm$\,std, $n=5$ episodes) on large real-world datasets. Best per row in \textbf{bold}.}
\caption{Mean test AUC ($\pm$\,std, $n=5$ episodes) on large real-world datasets. Best per row in \textbf{bold}. ChestX-ray14 uses frozen DenseNet-121 embeddings rather than raw tabular features.}
\label{tab:results:large}
\resizebox{\textwidth}{!}{%
\begin{tabular}{lcccccccc}
\begin{tabular}{lccccccc}
\toprule
Dataset & \textsc{Roll}-AoC & \textsc{Roll}-TPR & BCE-W & Focal & Asym. & GCE & LibAUC & MAE \\
Dataset & \textsc{Roll}-AOC & BCE-W & Focal & Asym. & GCE & LibAUC & MAE \\
\midrule
Bank Marketing & 0.511{\tiny{$\pm$0.047}} & 0.438{\tiny{$\pm$0.044}} & 0.580{\tiny{$\pm$0.040}} & 0.573{\tiny{$\pm$0.044}} & 0.684{\tiny{$\pm$0.033}} & \textbf{0.746{\tiny{$\pm$0.022}}} & 0.652{\tiny{$\pm$0.031}} & 0.707{\tiny{$\pm$0.035}} \\
Credit Card Fraud & 0.968{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} & \textbf{0.974{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}}} & 0.949{\tiny{$\pm$0.015}} & 0.942{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.940{\tiny{$\pm$0.013}} & 0.948{\tiny{$\pm$0.014}} & 0.966{\tiny{$\pm$0.006}} & 0.954{\tiny{$\pm$0.009}} \\
Home Credit & \textbf{0.712{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} & 0.687{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & 0.693{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.694{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.688{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.698{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.711{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} & 0.699{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} \\
Bank Marketing & 0.931{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.580{\tiny{$\pm$0.040}} & 0.573{\tiny{$\pm$0.044}} & 0.684{\tiny{$\pm$0.033}} & 0.746{\tiny{$\pm$0.022}} & \textbf{0.936{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}}} & 0.707{\tiny{$\pm$0.035}} \\
Credit Card Fraud & \textbf{0.968{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} & 0.949{\tiny{$\pm$0.015}} & 0.942{\tiny{$\pm$0.020}} & 0.940{\tiny{$\pm$0.013}} & 0.948{\tiny{$\pm$0.014}} & 0.966{\tiny{$\pm$0.006}} & 0.954{\tiny{$\pm$0.009}} \\
Home Credit & \textbf{0.712{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} & 0.693{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.694{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.688{\tiny{$\pm$0.003}} & 0.698{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.711{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} & 0.699{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} \\
\midrule
ChestX-ray14 (Effusion) & \textbf{0.839{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} & 0.788{\tiny{$\pm$0.008}} & 0.798{\tiny{$\pm$0.009}} & 0.729{\tiny{$\pm$0.007}} & 0.829{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} & 0.835{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} & 0.810{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} \\
\bottomrule
\end{tabular}%
}
\end{table}
\subsection{NIH ChestX-ray14}\label{sec:results:chestxray14}
\Cref{tab:results:chestxray14} reports test AUC on the ChestX-ray14 Effusion task.
\textsc{Roll}-AoC achieves the highest AUC ($0.839\pm0.001$), a clear margin above the
next-best methods GCE ($0.829\pm0.004$) and \textsc{Roll}-TPR ($0.828\pm0.002$).
Standard cross-entropy variants trail substantially: BCE-W reaches $0.788\pm0.008$,
Focal $0.798\pm0.009$, and Asym.\ $0.729\pm0.007$. MAE ($0.810\pm0.001$) benefits from
its noise-robust design but still falls behind the distributional losses. LibAUC results
are excluded due to an optimizer instability on this dataset (to be resolved in a
follow-up run).
The ${\approx}5$~pp gap between \textsc{Roll}-AoC and BCE-W, on a dataset whose labels
carry substantial organic NLP noise~\cite{oakdenrayner2020exploring}, is consistent with the findings from the controlled
KEEL noise experiment (\Cref{sec:results:keel}) and CIFAR-10N
(\Cref{sec:results:cifar10n}). The result also demonstrates that ROLL-AOC generalises
beyond from-scratch training: the DenseNet-121 embeddings are frozen, so ROLL operates
entirely within the MLP head, fitting score distributions over a fixed representation.
\begin{table}[htbp]
\centering
\caption{Mean test AUC ($\pm$\,std, $n=5$ episodes) on NIH ChestX-ray14 (Effusion
vs.\ rest, IR~${\approx}7.5$:1). Labels carry substantial organic NLP noise~\cite{oakdenrayner2020exploring}.
LibAUC excluded due to optimizer instability. Best in \textbf{bold}.}
\label{tab:results:chestxray14}
\begin{tabular}{lc}
\toprule
Method & AUC \\
\midrule
\textsc{Roll}-AoC & \textbf{0.839{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}}} \\
\textsc{Roll}-TPR & 0.828{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} \\
GCE & 0.829{\tiny{$\pm$0.004}} \\
MAE & 0.810{\tiny{$\pm$0.001}} \\
Focal & 0.798{\tiny{$\pm$0.009}} \\
BCE-W & 0.788{\tiny{$\pm$0.008}} \\
Asym. & 0.729{\tiny{$\pm$0.007}} \\
LibAUC & 0.835{\tiny{$\pm$0.002}} \\
\bottomrule
\end{tabular}
\end{table}